Friday, April 8, 2016

SNOWY APRIL SATURDAY, TIMING & DETAILS

I will have to be honest, I did not expect to be making another snow forecast this year. Yet here I am, the night of April 8th, posting a snow forecast for our area that shows light to moderate snowfall totals! Summer can't get here soon enough....

With that being said, Tomorrow certainly will not be anything major, however, anytime we receive accumulating snow in April, it is pretty abnormal. Considering we are more than a week into April, I do not expect much snow to stick any roadways Tomorrow. The snow will arrive here late enough for us not to worry about snow covered roads. Now, IF the snow arrives here a bit earlier before sunrise, then some roadways have a chance of being covered.

Light snow will overspread the area between 5 and 6 am. The intensity will pick up by 7, and between 7 am and 11 am that is where we can expect the bulk of whatever snow does fall. Between 1 PM and 4 PM, most of our snow will done and over with.

Check out the 7 AM future radar via the HRRR:
Notice how narrow that swath of snow is, and the huge dry slot over Southwest PA, this is what makes me concern that my snow forecast may 'bust'. Meaning areas that I have 1-3, or even 3-5, may not receive much of anything due to this dry slot. But, for those in the "line of fire" which in this image, our area is, the snow forecast totals will definitely verify, if not over-perform in the mountainous regions.


Here's to hoping this is my last snowfall forecast of the 2015-2016 Winter Season...which is now Spring...

-Chris