Tuesday, March 1, 2016

Light To Moderate Snow Event Headed Our Way Thursday Night Into Friday

It is already Meteorological Spring, yet a Winter Storm is targeting our area Thursday Night into Friday.

A weak area of low pressure will be dropping out of the Mid-West and will gather a little bit of strength over Kentucky before heading Northeast from there, where it will die out somewhere over West Virginia and Southwest PA. From there, the energy will transfer to the coast, as a coastal low rapidly gains strength. This is the "wildcard" that I mentioned in my video from this morning. All guidance now has this "wildcard" low pressure remaining well out to sea, leaving the coastal areas brushed by it with minimal impacts.

I like what the latest NAM is printing out in terms of the precipitation field:
With it now being March, the Sun-Angle plays a critical role in determining whether the snow accumulates or not. Fortunately for snow lovers, the majority of this snowfall will occur during the overnight hours Thursday Night into Friday Morning. This will allow the snowfall to accumulate even on the roadways.

Speaking of timing, the snowfall should arrive here after 8 PM Thursday Night and will exit the region around Noon-Time Friday. Heaviest of the snow will occur overnight, so expect travel headaches during the morning commute Friday Morning.

FIRST CALL:

Region A: (Includes all of Dauphin County). 2 to as much as 5 inches of snowfall. I could see this storm playing out where center city Harrisburg receives 2 inches, while areas just to the North in higher elevation receives 5 inches.

Region B: A coating to 2 inches of snowfall is expected. For areas to the south, temps will hover around the 32 degree mark which will allow for the snow to struggle to accumulate. Areas further to the East, guidance is suggesting the precip to weaken as the weak area of low pressure transfers to the coastal that heads way out to sea.

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