IF we did not have the low pressure in Southeast Canada and just had the coastal storm we would be talking about a significant snowstorm for our region. However, thanks to the low in SE Canada, warmer air is able to sneak into the region, helping this storm deliver rainfall.
Take a look at the latest GFS valid early Saturday Morning:
Whether the coastal storm takes a track closer to the coast, or further away from the coast will determine how much rainfall the Mid-State sees. If it takes a track to the right, we get brushed, if it takes a track to the left, we are in for a washout. I am favoring closer to the left track, unfortunately.
Rainfall amounts will range from 0.5 inches to 1.5 inches. All rain should be out of the region by Saturday Evening.
When is our next chance for snow? Monday may offer some light snow showers, not looking too promising at the moment. Another potent storm is brewing between the 21st and 23rd. Too far out for details, but again, the trend this Winter for big storms, is for them to produce rainfall...
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-Chris
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