Sunday, January 10, 2016

First Call On Snowfall Amounts Tuesday Night

A clipper system will take a track over the Great Lakes to our North on Tuesday, delivering with it periods of snow showers and squalls to the Mid-State Tuesday Evening into Tuesday Night. The latest GFS still continues to show a steady snowfall for much of the state:
I do not think that is the case for many of us. I am starting to believe the mountains to our West will break up the snowfall, leading to snow showers and squalls rather than a solid area of snowfall.

What does this mean? Not everyone East of the Mountains will see accumulating snowfall. However, still many of us will see snow coat the ground Tuesday Evening/Night. Folks in the Poconos and NEPA will have a better shot than us in the Lower Susquehanna Valley to see snow stick to the ground as the clipper gets a bit more energy as it heads off the coast.

With that being said here is my snow map. Snow showers will begin Tuesday Mid-Afternoon and will continue on and off for the rest of the Evening. (The timing is for Dauphin County only. Areas to the West will start and end sooner, while areas to the East it will start and end later.)
Click on the image to view it larger.

Region A (Dark Blue): 1 to 3 inches of snowfall is expected.

Region B (Lighter Blue): Coating to 1 inch of snowfall is expected. If the Mountains do break up the snowfall, some locations in this region may not see much, if any snow. I will continue to monitor that situation over the next 24 hours.

Next Weekend:

Big storm coming Jan 16th-18th?? Yes, guidance is indicating a storm system in this time period, but I would not get too excited if I were a snow lover (which I am).  Guidance will continue to waffle back and forth over the next few days. If you hear that a blizzard is coming, that is all HYPE. Do not believe it. It all depends on the track whether we see Snow or Rain...the trend has been Rain this Winter...we will see if that continues. Fingers crossed snow lovers.

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