Saturday, February 13, 2016

2nd Call With Snowfall Amounts (Monday into Tuesday)

Only 48 hours out and yet again not much model consensus. However, it is clear that our area will start off as snow. How quickly it changes over to freezing rain, then plain rain is still an uncertainty.

Timing: Snow should overspread the mid-state between 10 am and 1 pm Monday and last for several hours. By the evening time, the transition to sleet and freezing rain will begin. By early Tuesday Morning it looks like a plain rain will fall.

UPDATED MAP:

Region A: This area will remain all snow, 8 to 12 inches of snowfall is expected.

Region B: A prolonged period of snowfall will accumulate 4 to 8 inches. A change over to freezing rain and even rain is possible.

Region C: A several hour period of snow will accumulate 2 to 4 inches before changing over to freezing rain and then plain rain. Potentially a significant amount of ice is possible. Guidance is too all over the place to put amounts regarding ice. By Tomorrow I will have a better understanding.

Region D: A short period of snowfall at the onset will accumulate a coating to 2 inches of snow.

Summary: Plan on a snowy Monday that will change over to a mix of sleet and freezing rain Monday Evening. Uncertainty remains how long we hold onto the frozen precipitation. By Midnight Tuesday Morning we should be receiving a plain rain.

Keep following my Facebook page for the latest! Dauphin County Weather Facebook Page!

-Chris

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