Sunday, February 7, 2016

SECOND CALL ON SNOW TOTALS

There is no doubt in my mind there will be surprises involved with this storm. Areas that are only expected to receive 2 to 5 inches of snow, may receive 10 inches of snow. It all depends where the inverted trough sets up. In case you missed my explanation of what an inverted trough is, it is basically a localized area that receives steady/heavy snow for several hours, while other areas around it just receive light snow. Which that is all many of us will receive...

GFS remains on its own with how aggressive it is with snow totals. I do not see anybody receiving more than 10 inches from this storm and that would be very localized. All other guidance is pretty much locked in on a widespread light to moderate snowfall.

Timing: Snow will begin to fall Monday Night, after 7 PM and will not officially end until 12 AM Wednesday Morning. Snow will fall lightly and even at times stop. This is a long duration-light snowfall event.

Updated map:

Region A: 5 to 8 inches of snowfall is expected.

Region B: 2 to 5 inches of snowfall is expected. Areas in the dotted area, is where I think the Inverted Trough may setup. And yes this includes all of Dauphin County. Somewhere in the dotted area, will receive a "surprise" snowfall. Localized areas may see up to 10 inches of snow. I stress the word localized. Most people will fall within the 2 to 5 inch range.

Region C: Less than 2 inches of snow.
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Enjoy the Super Bowl and keep it here for the latest!

-Chris 

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